Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Flores a 91% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Bill Flores won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Bill Flores — 91% model odds (won)
  2. Ralph Patterson — 6% model odds
  3. Kaleb Sims — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts