Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Beto O'Rourke an 87% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Beto O'Rourke won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Beto O'Rourke — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Ben Mendoza — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts