Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Xavier Salinas a 64% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Tim Westley won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Xavier Salinas — 64% model odds
- Ruben O. Villarreal — 23% model odds
- Tim Westley — 7% model odds (won)
- Vanessa S. Tijerina — 7% model odds