Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicente Gonzalez a 95% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Vicente Gonzalez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicente Gonzalez — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Juan "Sonny," Jr. Palacios — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts