Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vicente Gonzalez an 84% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Vicente Gonzalez won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vicente Gonzalez — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Rubén Ramírez — 4% model odds
  3. Juan "Sonny," Jr. Palacios — 3% model odds
  4. Dolly Elizondo — 3% model odds
  5. Rance G "Randy" Sweeten — 3% model odds
  6. Joel Quintanilla — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts