Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scot B. Gallaher an 82% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Tawana W. Cadien won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Scot B. Gallaher — 82% model odds
- Tawana W. Cadien — 18% model odds (won)