Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Brady a 91% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Kevin Brady won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Brady — 91% model odds (won)
  2. Steve Toth — 3% model odds
  3. Andre Dean — 3% model odds
  4. Craig Mcmichael — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts