Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Culberson a 93% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. John Culberson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Culberson — 93% model odds (won)
  2. James Lloyd — 4% model odds
  3. Maria Espinoza — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts