Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Barton an 85% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Joe Barton won, matching the model's top pick.
- Joe Barton — 85% model odds (won)
- Collin Baker — 6% model odds
- Darrel, Jr. Smith — 6% model odds
- Steven Fowler — 3% model odds