Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael A. Filak an 86% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Adam P. Bell won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Michael A. Filak — 86% model odds
  2. Adam P. Bell — 14% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts