Texas House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Louie Gohmert an 83% chance of winning the Texas House 2016 primary. Louie Gohmert won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Louie Gohmert — 83% model odds (won)
  2. Simon Winston — 10% model odds
  3. Anthony Culler — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts