Tennessee House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Kustoff a 49% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2016 primary. David Kustoff won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Kustoff — 49% model odds (won)
  2. Brian Kelsey — 9% model odds
  3. George Flinn — 7% model odds
  4. Brad Greer — 4% model odds
  5. Ken Atkins — 4% model odds
  6. Raymond Honeycutt — 4% model odds
  7. George B. Howell — 4% model odds
  8. David Wharton — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts