Tennessee House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Diane Black a 70% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2016 primary. Diane Black won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Diane Black — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Tommy N. Hay — 22% model odds
  3. Donald Strong — 6% model odds
  4. Joe S. Carr — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts