Tennessee House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Stacy Ries Snyder an 85% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2016 primary. Stacy Ries Snyder won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Stacy Ries Snyder — 85% model odds (won)
2. Jody Ball — 12% model odds
3. John "Big John" Smith — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts