Tennessee House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Grant Starrett a 72% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2016 primary. Scott Desjarlais won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Grant Starrett — 72% model odds
- Scott Desjarlais — 23% model odds (won)
- Yomi "Fapas" Faparusi — 3% model odds
- Erran Persley — 2% model odds