Tennessee House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Chuck Fleischmann a 59% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2016 primary. Chuck Fleischmann won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Chuck Fleischmann — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Geoffery Suhmer Smith — 23% model odds
  3. Allan Levene — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts