South Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mick Mulvaney an 80% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2016 primary. Mick Mulvaney won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mick Mulvaney — 80% model odds (won)
2. Ray Craig — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts