South Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Arik Bjorn an 81% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2016 primary. Arik Bjorn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Arik Bjorn — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Phil Black — 19% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts