South Carolina House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jenny Horne a 65% chance of winning the South Carolina House 2016 primary. Mark Sanford won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Jenny Horne — 65% model odds
- Mark Sanford — 31% model odds (won)
- Dimitri Cherny — 3% model odds