Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Janis C. Brooks a 56% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Mike Doyle won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Janis C. Brooks — 56% model odds
2. Mike Doyle — 34% model odds (won)
3. Scattered — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts