Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brendan F. Boyle an 85% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Brendan F. Boyle won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brendan F. Boyle — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts