Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Fitzpatrick an 87% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Brian Fitzpatrick won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Fitzpatrick — 87% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 7% model odds
  3. Andrew L. Warren — 3% model odds
  4. Marc Duome — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts