Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Patrick L. Meehan an 88% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Patrick L. Meehan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Patrick L. Meehan — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 9% model odds
  3. Stan Casacio — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts