Pennsylvania House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bill Golderer an 81% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2016 primary. Mary Ellen Balchunis won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Bill Golderer — 81% model odds
- Mary Ellen Balchunis — 11% model odds (won)
- Scattered — 8% model odds