Oregon Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin H. Stine a 53% chance of winning the Oregon Senate 2016 primary. Ron Wyden won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Kevin H. Stine — 53% model odds
2. Ron Wyden — 16% model odds (won)
3. Paul B. Weaver — 16% model odds
4. Scattered — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts