Oregon House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Colm Willis a 79% chance of winning the Oregon House 2016 primary. Colm Willis won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Colm Willis — 79% model odds (won)
2. Ben West — 6% model odds
3. Earl D. Rainey — 6% model odds
4. Scattered — 6% model odds
5. Seth Allan — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts