Oregon House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kurt Schrader an 88% chance of winning the Oregon House 2016 primary. Kurt Schrader won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kurt Schrader — 88% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 9% model odds
  3. Dave Mcteague — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts