Oregon House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter A. Defazio an 86% chance of winning the Oregon House 2016 primary. Peter A. Defazio won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Peter A. Defazio — 86% model odds (won)
2. Scattered — 8% model odds
3. Art Robinson — 3% model odds
4. Jo Rae Perkins — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts