Oregon House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David W. Walker a 54% chance of winning the Oregon House 2016 primary. David W. Walker won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. David W. Walker — 54% model odds
2. David W. Walker — 15% model odds (won)
3. Scattered — 15% model odds
4. David Delk — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts