Oregon House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Delinda Morgan a 48% chance of winning the Oregon House 2016 primary. Brian J. Heinrich won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Delinda Morgan — 48% model odds
  2. Brian J. Heinrich — 17% model odds (won)
  3. Jonathan E. Burgess — 17% model odds
  4. Scattered — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts