Oklahoma House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Al Mcaffrey an 81% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2016 primary. Al Mcaffrey won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Al Mcaffrey — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Tom Guild — 9% model odds
  3. Leona Leonard — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts