Oklahoma House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Markwayne Mullin a 95% chance of winning the Oklahoma House 2016 primary. Markwayne Mullin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Markwayne Mullin — 95% model odds (won)
  2. Jarrin Jackson — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts