Ohio Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rob Portman a 92% chance of winning the Ohio Senate 2016 primary. Rob Portman won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Rob Portman — 92% model odds (won)
2. Don Elijah Eckhart — 5% model odds
3. Joseph R. Demare — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts