Ohio House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ronny Richards a 73% chance of winning the Ohio House 2016 primary. William R. Smith won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Ronny Richards — 73% model odds
2. William R. Smith — 14% model odds (won)
3. Russ Hurley — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts