New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John J. Faso a 28% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. John J. Faso won, matching the model's top pick.

1. John J. Faso — 28% model odds (won)
2. John J. Faso — 28% model odds
3. John J. Faso — 28% model odds
4. Andrew Heaney — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts