New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jose E. Serrano a 70% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Jose E. Serrano won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Jose E. Serrano — 70% model odds (won)
  2. Leonel Baez — 30% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts