New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adriano Espaillat a 71% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Adriano Espaillat won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Adriano Espaillat — 71% model odds (won)
2. Clyde E. Williams — 18% model odds
3. Robert A., Jr. Evans — 6% model odds
4. Daniel Vila Rivera — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts