New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Keith L. T. Wright a 36% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Adriano Espaillat won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Keith L. T. Wright — 36% model odds
- Adriano Espaillat — 18% model odds (won)
- Suzan D. Johnson-Cook — 6% model odds
- Sam Sloan — 6% model odds
- Yohanny M. Caceres — 6% model odds
- Robert A., Jr. Evans — 6% model odds
- Clyde E. Williams — 6% model odds
- Adam Clayton Powell — 5% model odds