New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ronald Pichler a 38% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Ivanka Trump won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Ronald Pichler — 38% model odds
- Robert Ardini — 16% model odds
- Ivanka Trump — 16% model odds (won)
- Robert Ardini — 16% model odds
- Donald M. Sachs — 16% model odds