New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Daniel J. Cavanagh a 33% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Tony Danza won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Daniel J. Cavanagh — 33% model odds
2. Tony Danza — 33% model odds (won)
3. Pamela Green Perkins — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts