New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Danniel S. Maio a 51% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Danniel Maio won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Danniel S. Maio — 51% model odds
2. Danniel S. Maio — 16% model odds
3. Danniel Maio — 16% model odds (won)
4. Juong Won Joung — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts