New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thomas R. Suozzi a 78% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Thomas R. Suozzi won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Thomas R. Suozzi — 78% model odds (won)
2. Anna Kaplan — 9% model odds
3. Steve Stern — 5% model odds
4. Jonathan C. Clarke — 5% model odds
5. Jon Kaiman — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts