New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anna E. Throne-Holst a 46% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Anna E. Throne-Holst won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Anna E. Throne-Holst — 46% model odds (won)
  2. Anna E. Throne-Holst — 46% model odds
  3. Scattered — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts