New York House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lee M. Zeldin a 56% chance of winning the New York House 2016 primary. Anna E. Throne-Holst won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Lee M. Zeldin — 56% model odds
2. Anna E. Throne-Holst — 40% model odds (won)
3. David L. Calone — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts