Nevada Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Heck a 74% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2016 primary. Joe Heck won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Heck — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Of These Candidates — 3% model odds
  3. Eddie Hamilton — 3% model odds
  4. D'Nese Davis — 3% model odds
  5. Robert X. Leeds — 3% model odds
  6. Juston J. Preble — 3% model odds
  7. Carlo "Mazunga" Poliak — 3% model odds
  8. Bill Tarbell — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts