Nevada Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Catherine Cortez Masto an 83% chance of winning the Nevada Senate 2016 primary. Catherine Cortez Masto won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Catherine Cortez Masto — 83% model odds (won)
2. Allen Rheinhart — 5% model odds
3. Of These Candidates — 5% model odds
4. Liddo Susan O'Briant — 5% model odds
5. Bobby Mahendra — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts