Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cresent Hardy an 85% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. Cresent Hardy won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Cresent Hardy — 85% model odds (won)
2. Mike Monroe — 8% model odds
3. Wayne Villines — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts