Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ruben Kihuen a 59% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. Ruben Kihuen won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ruben Kihuen — 59% model odds (won)
  2. Susie Lee — 13% model odds
  3. Lucy Flores — 8% model odds
  4. Morse, Jr. Arberry — 4% model odds
  5. Rodney Smith — 4% model odds
  6. Mike Schaefer — 4% model odds
  7. Brandon Casutt — 4% model odds
  8. Dan Rolle — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts