Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Danny Tarkanian a 72% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. Danny Tarkanian won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Danny Tarkanian — 72% model odds (won)
2. Michael Roberson — 9% model odds
3. Sami Khal — 5% model odds
4. Michele Fiore — 4% model odds
5. Andy Matthews — 3% model odds
6. Annette Teijeiro — 3% model odds
7. Kerry Bowers — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts