Nevada House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jacky Rosen a 79% chance of winning the Nevada House 2016 primary. Jacky Rosen won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jacky Rosen — 79% model odds (won)
2. Jesse Sbaih — 7% model odds
3. Barry Michaels — 4% model odds
4. Steven M. Schiffman — 4% model odds
5. Neil M. Waite — 4% model odds
6. Alex Channing Singer — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts